Description

This analysis provides a forecast of HBAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.037047 0.041968 0.047430 0.053963 0.061596 0.070268 0.080916
2024-10-13 0.027882 0.033990 0.041394 0.051118 0.063685 0.079561 0.101430
2024-10-20 0.023316 0.029872 0.038314 0.050154 0.066613 0.089116 0.122969
2024-10-27 0.020054 0.026686 0.035633 0.048846 0.068319 0.096718 0.142727
2024-11-03 0.018360 0.025271 0.034990 0.050036 0.073444 0.109729 0.172875
2024-11-10 0.017021 0.024130 0.034505 0.051253 0.078624 0.123510 0.207094
2024-11-17 0.015605 0.022683 0.033341 0.051181 0.081617 0.134092 0.237981
2024-11-24 0.014253 0.021172 0.031877 0.050377 0.083169 0.142320 0.266212
2024-12-01 0.013338 0.020233 0.031192 0.050736 0.086725 0.154685 0.305537
2024-12-08 0.012483 0.019301 0.030402 0.050782 0.089667 0.166325 0.346213
2024-12-15 0.011794 0.018570 0.029864 0.051184 0.093297 0.179937 0.394951
2024-12-22 0.010787 0.017220 0.028130 0.049173 0.091860 0.182642 0.418128
2024-12-29 0.010503 0.017130 0.028686 0.051739 0.100546 0.210081 0.515748
2025-01-05 0.009490 0.015691 0.026699 0.049145 0.098014 0.211672 0.544899
2025-01-12 0.008816 0.014796 0.025620 0.048232 0.099018 0.221974 0.603405
2025-01-19 0.008172 0.013901 0.024453 0.046984 0.099046 0.229853 0.657738
2025-01-26 0.007874 0.013615 0.024419 0.048120 0.104866 0.254283 0.777589
2025-02-02 0.007601 0.013352 0.024400 0.049282 0.110964 0.281129 0.919897
2025-02-09 0.007224 0.012856 0.023865 0.049213 0.113938 0.299804 1.041299
2025-02-16 0.006811 0.012259 0.023070 0.048446 0.114950 0.312869 1.147200
2025-02-23 0.006536 0.011912 0.022762 0.048788 0.119041 0.336862 1.316193
2025-03-02 0.006255 0.011533 0.022351 0.048833 0.122322 0.359214 1.492785
2025-03-09 0.006023 0.011236 0.022091 0.049216 0.126670 0.386659 1.715860